Republican Jason Miyares Surges to a Seven-Point Lead Over Democrat Jay Jones in New Virginia Attorney General Poll as Voters Rally Behind Conservative Momentum
A new Quantus Insights poll conducted between October 19 and 20, 2025, shows Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares opening a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Jay Jones, signaling another major boost for Republicans heading into the final stretch of the state’s elections. The survey, which polled 1,302 likely voters across Virginia, shows Miyares with 49 percent support compared to Jones at 42 percent — a decisive seven-point margin that reflects growing voter confidence in conservative leadership at the state level.
For Republicans, this poll is more than just a number — it’s a sign of momentum. Miyares, who made history as Virginia’s first Hispanic attorney general when he was elected in 2021, has maintained a reputation for being tough on crime, decisive on parental rights, and unapologetically aligned with core conservative principles. His focus on law enforcement integrity, border security cooperation, and cracking down on fentanyl trafficking has resonated deeply with suburban and rural Virginians alike, many of whom see him as a steady, trustworthy voice in an increasingly uncertain political landscape.
Meanwhile, Democrat Jay Jones — once seen as a rising star in Virginia’s left-leaning circles — has struggled to recover from a wave of negative headlines. Leaked text messages that appeared to reference “managing election irregularities” drew strong criticism from both sides of the aisle earlier this year, prompting questions about his campaign’s transparency. The controversy, though downplayed by national outlets, has been a talking point in Virginia’s conservative media, where it’s viewed as emblematic of the broader trust issues facing the Democratic Party.
Compounding Jones’ challenges are his positions on abortion and policing, which have been framed by opponents as extreme and out of touch with Virginia’s moderates. His support for late-term abortion access has alienated faith-based voters, while his call for “community-led alternatives to traditional policing” has raised alarm among families prioritizing safety in their neighborhoods. These factors, combined with Virginia’s gradual shift toward red-leaning governance since 2024, have created fertile ground for Miyares’ surge.
Republican strategists say Miyares’ rise mirrors national trends showing renewed GOP enthusiasm after President Trump’s return to political prominence. Trump’s continued engagement with local and state races has kept the Republican base energized, turning what might have been sleepy state contests into battlegrounds of national importance. “This race isn’t just about Virginia,” said one conservative operative close to the campaign. “It’s about showing that common sense, pro-law, pro-family governance is winning again.”
Voter enthusiasm is indeed rising. Early voting reports indicate a noticeable uptick in turnout across rural counties that heavily favored Governor Glenn Youngkin in 2021 — a strong sign that Republican voters are returning to the polls with renewed energy. Meanwhile, Democrats are struggling to replicate the turnout machine they relied on during the pandemic-era elections, as independents increasingly cite concerns about inflation, crime, and border insecurity as key issues driving their decisions.
Still, Republicans aren’t taking anything for granted. Miyares’ campaign has emphasized the importance of widening the gap and keeping voters engaged until Election Day. “We can’t coast on a poll,” Miyares told supporters at a recent rally in Roanoke. “We have to keep fighting for every vote, because Virginia’s future is worth it.”
If the numbers hold, the 2025 Virginia Attorney General race could serve as an early indicator of how voters are feeling ahead of the 2026 midterms — and a warning sign for Democrats hoping to regain lost ground. For now, Miyares’ seven-point lead is a snapshot of a political environment that’s shifting rapidly toward Republican strength, powered by a message of accountability, public safety, and traditional values that continues to resonate with Virginians tired of chaos and division.
